Geopolitics, security and control: weekly review
The week is marked by geopolitics, security and tightening control. Major events include US strikes on Iran, negotiations on the brink of escalation, new sanctions, as well as measures to combat terrorism and radicalism. The review highlights key trends by region.
USA and Iran: strikes, negotiations and risk of escalation
The US continues to strike military targets in Iran. Meanwhile, officials report progress in negotiations and the possibility of a deal that should reduce tension in the region.
President Donald Trump calls the dialogue with Iran a balance between agreement and resumption of hostilities. Markets are in a constant state of anticipation of both escalation and de-escalation.
European exchanges have already played out hopes for partial relief. EU stocks are rising on expectations of easing conflict and reducing military risks in the Middle East.
Ukraine, CIS and EU: redrawing of the post-Soviet space
Ukraine continues to remain in the focus of the international agenda. Drone strikes on targets are recorded, the parties talk about new risks of escalation. The EU announces its intention to start negotiations on Ukraine's membership by mid-June.
Moldova has officially launched the procedure for leaving the CIS. This is an important political signal about the country's reorientation towards the European vector and the reshaping of the post-Soviet space.
Against this background, the countries of the region discuss strengthening security measures, exercises against drones and a common strategy against new risks from terrorism to arms smuggling.
Russia: sanctions, internal security and new laws
Trump is certainly considering new anti-Russian sanctions and at the same time discussing trade tariffs against the EU. This fuels uncertainty about the further economic agenda.
In Russia itself, the following measures are being discussed:
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strengthening control over cash transactions;
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possible blocking of unregistered IMEI devices;
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extension of the statute of limitations for privatization disputes to 10 years.
The general trend is tightening regulation and adapting legislation to current reality.
The agenda also includes internal security issues: drone attacks, joint exercises with allies, work of CIS special services against religious radicalism and terrorist threat.
General conclusion: the world in a controlled crisis mode
The world is stuck in a state of controlled crisis. Major players demonstratively increase military pressure, but at the same time negotiate for new deal conditions and redistribution of influence.
For economies, this means a period of high uncertainty. Investors closely monitor news from Iran, Ukraine and the CIS, as each statement can shake markets, currencies, oil and gold.
For ordinary people and businesses, the security, control and compliance agenda is intensifying - from checking transfers and tightening financial monitoring to technological control of devices and traffic.
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